Risk of thyroid cancer in a lung cancer screening population of the National Lung Screening Trial according to the presence of incidental thyroid nodules detected on low-dose chest CT

Article information

Ultrasonography. 2023;42(2):275-285
Publication date (electronic) : 2022 December 22
doi : https://doi.org/10.14366/usg.22111
1Department of Radiology, Human Medical Imaging & Intervention Center, Seoul, Korea
2Department of Radiology, SMG-SNU Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Korea
3Department of Radiology, Konkuk University Chungju Hospital, Chungju, Korea
4Department of Radiology, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea
5Department of Radiology, Gangnam Center, Seoul National University Hospital Healthcare System, Seoul, Korea
6Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea
Correspondence to: Ji-hoon Kim, MD, PhD, Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul 03080, Korea Tel. +82-2-2072-3280 Fax. +82-2-747-7418 E-mail: jihnkim@gmail.com
Received 2022 June 28; Revised 2022 December 12; Accepted 2022 December 14.

Abstract

Purpose

This study evaluated thyroid cancer risk in a lung cancer screening population according to the presence of an incidental thyroid nodule (ITN) detected on low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT).

Methods

Of 47,837 subjects who underwent LDCT, a lung cancer screening population according to the National Lung Screening Trial results was retrospectively enrolled. The prevalence of ITN on LDCT was calculated, and the ultrasonography (US)/fine-needle aspiration (FNA)–based risk of thyroid cancer according to the presence of ITN on LDCT was compared using the Fisher exact or Student t-test as appropriate.

Results

Of the 2,329 subjects (female:male=44:2,285; mean age, 60.9±4.9 years), the prevalence of ITN on LDCT was 4.8% (111/2,329). The incidence of thyroid cancer was 0.8% (18/2,329, papillary thyroid microcarcinomas [PTMCs]) and was higher in the ITN-positive group than in the ITN-negative group (3.6% [4/111] vs. 0.6% [14/2,218], P=0.009). Among the 2,011 subjects who underwent both LDCT and thyroid US, all risks were higher (P<0.001) in the ITNpositive group than in the ITN-negative group: presence of thyroid nodule on US, 94.1% (95/101) vs. 48.6% (928/1,910); recommendation of FNA according to the American Thyroid Association guideline and Korean Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System guideline, 41.2% (42/101) vs. 2.4% (46/1,910) and 39.6% (40/101) vs. 1.9% (37/1,910), respectively.

Conclusion

Despite a higher risk of thyroid cancer in the LDCT ITN-positive group than in the ITN-negative group in a lung cancer screening population, all cancers were PTMCs. A heavy smoking history may not necessitate thorough screening US for thyroid incidentalomas.

Introduction

The incidence of thyroid cancer has substantially increased worldwide over the last 40 years [1,2]. Apart from the increased frequency of screening ultrasonography (US), with the advent of recent technological progress, the increased use of new imaging modalities for other indications has been reported to be closely related to the increased incidence of thyroid cancer [3-5].

An incidental thyroid nodule (ITN) refers to a thyroid nodule that was not previously detected or suspected but was identified by an imaging modality. It is one of the most common incidental findings of neck imaging studies [6]. In principle, the American Thyroid Association (ATA) recommends diagnostic thyroid/neck US for all patients with a suspected ITN that was detected on computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), or fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography [7]. However, in real-world clinical practice, various concerns have been raised with regard to whether and how radiologists should report ITNs detected on these imaging modalities performed for unrelated conditions, considering debates on whether reporting ITNs is beneficial or harmful [8-11]. In this regard, the American College of Radiology (ACR) suggested consensus recommendations for ITNs based on clinicoradiologic findings [6].

Meanwhile, based on the results of the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST), low-dose chest CT (LDCT) has been widely recommended for populations that require lung cancer screening [12,13]. The increased use of LDCT has resulted in increased detection of ITNs, which has subsequently made the issues related to reporting these ITNs more pertinent than before [14]. Some papers have reported the prevalence and malignancy rates of ITNs on chest CT scans with different CT protocols and various populations [15-17]. However, none of them were based on a complete evaluation of US, which is a fundamental step in the analysis of thyroid cancer risk. Moreover, no previous studies have compared the risk for thyroid cancer according to the presence of ITN on LDCT.

Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the risk of thyroid cancer in a lung cancer screening population according to the presence of ITN detected on LDCT.

Materials and Methods

Compliance with Ethical Standards

This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Seoul National University Hospital (H-1309-026-517). The requirement for informed consent was waived due to the retrospective nature of the study.

Subjects

In total, 47,837 subjects underwent LDCT for screening purposes from January 2004 to May 2013 at Gangnam Center of Seoul National University Hospital Healthcare System (Seoul, South Korea) in South Korea. A lung cancer screening population for this study was constructed by including the following subjects who were recommended to undergo LDCT for lung cancer screening according to the NLST results: (1) subjects aged between 55 and 74 years old at the time of LDCT; and (2) subjects who were current or former (cessation within 15 years) smokers and had a smoking history of greater than 30 pack-years [12]. Thereafter, the following subjects were excluded: (1) subjects who had a history of lung cancer; (2) subjects who had undergone partial or total thyroidectomy due to thyroid nodules or thyroid cancer; and (3) subjects who had previously been diagnosed with thyroid nodules. Among them, subsequently, a search was conducted for subjects who underwent thyroid US for screening purposes on the same day or within 6 months after the LDCT acquisition to evaluate the US-based risk of thyroid cancer. For subjects with repeated LDCT examinations during the study period, we included data from the first LDCT or the first LDCT with thyroid US. Fig, 1 presents a flow chart of the patients enrolled.

Fig. 1.

Flowchart of patient enrollment.

LDCT, low-dose chest computed tomography; ITN, incidental thyroid nodule; US, ultrasonography; FNA, fine-needle aspiration.

Low-Dose Chest CT

LDCT was performed with the subject in a supine position and the arms elevated above the head during end-inspiratory breath-holding using a 16-slice multi-detector CT scanner (SOMATOM Sensation 16, Siemens Medical Systems, Munich, Germany) or a 256-slice multi-detector CT scanner (Brilliance iCT, Philips Healthcare, Cleveland, OH, USA). CT images from the lower neck to the upper abdomen were obtained to completely include the lung apex and bases. The detailed scanning parameters were as follows: detector collimation, 0.6-0.75 mm; beam pitch, 0.516-1.2; reconstruction increment, 1.0 mm; rotation time, 0.5 seconds; tube voltage, 120 kVp; tube current, 30-60 effective mAs; and matrix, 512×512. Contrast enhancement was not performed. The axial images were reconstructed with a slice thickness of 3 or 5 mm using standard and lung algorithms and presented in a picture archiving and communication system (Marosis, Infinitt Healthcare, Seoul, Korea). Thyroid shields were not used during the study period. Board-certified radiologists affiliated with our center described the lung nodules, masses, or other abnormalities in the radiologic reports.

Thyroid Ultrasonography and Radiologic Reports

Using high-resolution US machines equipped with 8-14 MHz linear-array transducers, thyroid US examinations were performed by board-certified radiologists who were affiliated with the same center. The scanning protocol in all cases included both transverse and longitudinal real-time imaging of the thyroid nodules, and representative images of the thyroid nodules were stored in the picture archiving and communication system. The radiologists described the character, size, and number of thyroid nodules on the US examination in their radiologic reports, referring to the consensus recommendations and guidelines of those times [18-21].

Analysis of LDCT and Thyroid US for Thyroid Nodules

Blinded to the US results, two radiologists (K.M.K., with 10 years of experience in head and neck radiology and K.N.J., with 15 years of experience in thoracic radiology) retrospectively and independently reviewed the LDCT images with regard to whether the whole thyroid gland was included in the LDCT scan and also for the presence of thyroid nodules under the soft tissue window setting offered by the picture archiving and communication system without window and level adjustment. CT images were displayed in a 1×1 window size of the monitor specified for radiologists.

The presence of a thyroid nodule on LDCT was defined as the observation of any firmly depicted focal feature, such as distinct attenuation, mass effect, or calcification, in the thyroid gland. The type of calcification of the nodule was classified as punctate, rim, or coarse (Fig. 2). The size of the largest nodule was measured. The thyroid nodules on US were retrospectively and independently assessed by two radiologists (H.S., with 13 years of experience in head and neck radiology and J.S.P., with 13 years of experience in head and neck radiology), blinded to the cytopathology reports and LDCT results; they referred to the radiologic and medical reports with regard to the following: (1) the presence of thyroid nodules; (2) the size of the largest thyroid nodule; (3) whether and according to which criteria of the ATA guidelines or Korean Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (K-TIRADS) guidelines were the thyroid nodules indicated for fine-needle aspiration (FNA); and (4) whether FNA or core-needle biopsy (CNB) for the thyroid nodule was performed. Finally, they categorized the results on FNA cytology, CNB pathology, and surgical pathology for the thyroid nodule based on the recent Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology and the American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition (Fig. 3) [7,22-25]. In cases of disagreement between the LDCT and US interpretations, the final decision was made by another radiologist (J.H.K., with 19 years of experience in head and neck radiology). Referring to the radiologic reports and medical records, clinical characteristics including smoking history, cytopathologic results of the thyroid nodule, presence of a lung nodule, and the pathology of the lung nodule were reviewed by a radiologist (H.S.). Participants were followed-up for events that occurred through September 31, 2020.

Fig. 2.

Types of incidental thyroid nodule calcification (arrows) on low-dose chest computed tomography: punctate (A), rim (B), and coarse (C).

Fig. 3.

A 71-year-old man (34 packyear smoking history) with an incidental thyroid nodule on lowdose chest computed tomography (LDCT) that was proven to be a benign follicular nodule.

A. LDCT shows a 2.0-cm low-attenuating nodule (arrows) in the left hemithyroid. B. Ultrasonography reveals a 1.8-cm, slightly hypoechoic, well-defined, ovoid solid nodule in the left hemithyroid. It was reported to be a benign follicular nodule (Bethesda category 2) based on fine-needle aspiration results.

Statistical Analysis

Descriptive statistics are presented as number and percentage. For the evaluation of ITN on LDCT, the interobserver agreement was calculated. Concordance was then determined based on the Cohen’s unweighted kappa value as follows: slight agreement, 0.01-0.20; fair, 0.21-0.40; moderate, 0.41-0.60; substantial, 0.61-0.80; and almost perfect, 0.81-1.00 [26]. We used the Fisher exact or Student t-test to compare clinical or imaging features between the ITN-positive and ITN-negative groups as appropriate. We employed SPSS version 19.0 for Windows (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) for the statistical analysis. Statistical significance was determined by a P-value <0.05.

Results

Radiologic and Clinical Characteristics of ITN on LDCT

In total, 2,329 subjects (female:male [F:M]=44:2,285; mean age, 60.9±4.9 years) were enrolled as the NLST lung cancer screening population for the analysis of the presence of ITN on LDCT. The baseline clinical characteristics according to the presence of ITN on LDCT are summarized in Table 1. In the LDCT ITN-positive group, the proportion of women was larger (7.2% vs. 1.6%, P<0.001), the subjects were older (62.4±4.8 years vs. 60.9±4.9 years, P=0.001) and the incidence of thyroid cancer proven after surgery or reported as Bethesda category 6 on FNA/CNB was higher (3.6% vs. 0.6%, P=0.009) than in the LDCT ITN-negative group. There were no significant differences in the prevalence of ITN on LDCT and the incidence of thyroid cancer according to CT scanners (16-slice vs. 256-slice) and scanning periods (2003-2008 years vs. 2009-2013 years), respectively (Supplementary Table 1). All of the proven thyroid cancers in 18 patients (F:M=1:17; mean age, 60.6±2.7 years; 12 former and six current smokers) were papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs) of stage I (n=13; T1aN0, n=4; T1aNx, n=9) or II (n=5; T1aNa, n=4; T1aN1b, n=1) based on American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition (Table 2) [25]. None of them showed high-risk features [27], except for one case that was proven on FNA to be associated with lymph node metastasis in the lateral compartment. The incidence of lung cancer in this population was 1.2% (28/2,329). Lung cancer did not occur in any subjects in the LDCT ITN-positive group nor in any subject with proven thyroid cancer. LDCT covered the thyroid gland completely in 2,010 of 2,329 subjects (86.3%).

Baseline characteristics according to the presence of an ITN on LDCT

Pathologic or clinical staging of 18 thyroid cancers

Table 3 shows the CT characteristics of LDCT-detected thyroid nodules according to the presence of proven thyroid cancer. In the LDCT image analysis, ITNs on LDCT were noted in 111 of 2,329 (4.8%) subjects, with multiple ITNs in nine of the 111 subjects (8.1%). The mean size of the largest ITN in 111 subjects was 13.3±8.3 mm (≤10 mm, 46/111 [41.4%]; >10 mm and <15 mm, n=26/111 [23.4%]; ≥15 mm, n=39/111 [35.1%]; range, 1.9 to 41.4 mm). Thirty eight out of the 111 subjects (34.2%) showed calcification (punctate, 8/38 [21.1%]; rim, 6/38 [15.8%]; and coarse, 24/38 [63.2%]) (Fig. 2). There was fair to strong interobserver agreement for the presence of ITN, multiplicity of the ITNs, and calcification in the ITNs on LDCT (kappa value, 0.511, 0.336, and 0.702, respectively).

Computed tomography characteristics of the LDCT ITN-positive group according to the presence of proven thyroid cancer

The nodule sizes of four proven thyroid cancer cases out of 111 LDCT-detected thyroid nodules were 4.8 mm, 11.0 mm, 17.0 mm, and 33.0 mm, respectively. The former 4.8-mm calcified ITN was proven on FNA, and the remaining three cases were PTMCs proven surgically. The former 4.8-mm ITN on LDCT was matched with FNA-proven thyroid cancer on thyroid US, and the 11.0-mm and 17.0-mm ITNs on LDCT were matched with suspicious nodules on thyroid US and proven as PTMC surgically (Fig. 4). However, the 33.0-mm ITN on LDCT was not matched with a suspicious nodule on thyroid US (Fig. 5). Compared to the thyroid cancer-negative group, the thyroid cancer-positive group had an isthmic location more frequently (50% vs. 2.8%, P=0.010).

Fig. 4.

A 60-year-old man (180 pack-year smoking history) with an incidental thyroid nodule (arrows) on low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT), which was proven to be a papillary thyroid microcarcinoma.

A. LDCT shows an 11-mm low-attenuating nodule in the left hemithyroid. B. Ultrasonography reveals a 13-mm, heterogeneous, ovoid solid nodule (arrows) in the left hemithyroid. It was suspected to be a papillary thyroid carcinoma (Bethesda category 5) based on fine-needle aspiration results. Surgery confirmed the 9-mm papillary thyroid microcarcinoma without extrathyroidal extension.

Fig. 5.

A 61-year-old man (37 pack-year smoking history) with an incidental thyroid nodule on low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT), which was proven to be nodular hyperplasia and concurrent papillary thyroid carcinoma.

A. LDCT shows a 33-mm low-attenuating nodule with punctate calcifications (arrows) in the left hemithyroid. B. Ultrasonography reveals a 26-mm ill-defined, isoechoic, predominantly solid nodule (arrows) in the left hemithyroid, which was finally proven to be nodular hyperplasia. C. Unexpectedly, ultrasonography showed another 8-mm low-echoic, suspicious nodule with spiculated margin (arrows) in the left hemithyroid, which was finally confirmed to be a 5-mm papillary thyroid microcarcinoma without extrathyroidal extension during surgery.

US/FNA-Based Risk of Thyroid Cancer According to the Presence of ITN

Thyroid US was optionally performed according to the subjects’ choice. Three hundred eighteen patients did not choose screening thyroid US. For the evaluation of US-based risks of thyroid cancer, we enrolled 2,011 subjects (F:M=44:1,967; mean age, 61.0±4.9 years) who underwent thyroid US on the same day or within 6 months after the LDCT acquisition. In 86.4% (1,737/2,011) of them, LDCT covered the thyroid gland completely. The US/FNA-based characteristics of thyroid nodules according to the presence of ITN on LDCT are summarized in Table 4. Of the 2,011 subjects, 50.9% (1,023/2,011) had ITNs on US. Of 1,023 subjects with ITNs, 85.1% (871/1,023) had small nodules (size ≤1 cm). FNA was recommended in 8.6% (88/1,023) and 7.5% (77/1,023) of cases according to the ATA guidelines and K-TIRADS guidelines, respectively.

Ultrasonography/fine-needle aspiration–based characteristics of thyroid nodules according to the presence of a ITN on LDCT

From a total of 2011 subjects, FNA was recommended in 4.4% (88/2,011) according to the ATA guideline and in 3.8% (77/2,011) according to the K-TIRADS guideline. FNA or CNB was performed in 5.2% (104/2,011). Surgical indications with Bethesda category 4, 5, or 6 on the FNA/CNB results were found in 0.9% (19/2,011) of the subjects. The incidence of surgically proven thyroid cancer was 0.5% (11/2,011). The incidence of surgically proven thyroid cancer or an FNA/CNB Bethesda category 6 result was 0.9% (18/2,011). The incidence of surgically proven thyroid cancer or an FNA/CNB Bethesda category 4, 5, or 6 result was 1.1% (22/2,011).

All US/FNA-based risks were significantly higher in the LDCT ITN-positive group than in the LDCT ITN-negative group. In particular, the size of the thyroid nodules was larger (14.9±8.7 mm vs. 5.5±3.7 mm, P<0.001) and the nodules were more frequently larger than 1 cm (58.4% [59/101] vs. 4.9% [93/1,910], P<0.001) in the LDCT ITN-positive group than in the LDCT ITN-negative group (Fig. 3). In addition, FNA was more frequently recommended (ATA guideline, 41.2% [42/101] vs. 2.4% [46/1,910]; K-TIRADS guideline, 39.6% [40/101] vs. 1.9% [37/1,910]; P<0.001, respectively) and thyroid nodules with Bethesda category 4, 5, or 6 on FNA/CNB results also occurred more frequently (6.9% [7/101] vs. 0.6% [12/1,910], P<0.001).

For the four patients with surgically proven thyroid cancer in the LDCT ITN-positive group, ITNs on LDCT were matched with suspicious nodules on thyroid US in three cases (Fig. 4), but the ITN on LDCT was not matched with a suspicious nodule on thyroid US in the remaining case (Fig. 5).

Discussion

This study showed that in a screening population for lung cancer, the prevalence of ITN on LDCT was 4.8% (111/2,329), which was much lower than the prevalence of ITN on US (50.9% [1,023/2,011]). The majority of the ITNs (64.9%, 72/111) on LDCT were <1.5 cm in size, and most of the ITNs (85.1%, 871/1,023) on US were ≤1 cm. FNA was not recommended according to the ATA guideline for the majority of the subjects (58.4%, 59/101) in the LDCT ITN-positive group, and FNA was not recommended for most subjects with ITN on US (91.4%, 935/1,023). When referring to the ACR consensus recommendations that target only nodules ≥1.5 cm in subjects ≥35 years, a US evaluation would not have been recommended for 64.9% (72/111) of subjects with ITN on LDCT; two out of the four patients with thyroid cancer in the LDCT ITN-positive group would not have undergone US, and the diagnosis would probably have been missed [6]. There were 18 PTMCs in the study population (0.8%, 18/2,329), and the incidence of thyroid cancer was higher in the LDCT ITN-positive group than in the LDCT ITN-negative group. All the US/FNA-based risk factors for thyroid cancers, including the size of the thyroid nodule, recommendation for FNA, and surgical indication based on FNA/CNB results, were present at higher levels or frequencies in the LDCT ITN-positive group than in the ITNnegative group.

This is the first study to evaluate the clinical significance of ITN detected on LDCT, which was performed in a lung cancer screening population for whom LDCT was recommended according to the NLST results. The correlation between LDCT and US for thyroid nodules could be analyzed because the data were collected in 2004-2013 at a health-care center in South Korea. South Korea is reported to have a very high incidence of thyroid cancer, which might be related to the abundant screening examinations [3]. However, even in South Korea, there has been a marked decrease in screening programs for thyroid US, resulting in a decrease in thyroid operations since 2014 due to mass media presentations discouraging screening thyroid US [28,29]. The data in this study are from the period when screening US was the most popular in South Korea.

Whereas the prevalence of ITNs on contrast-enhanced chest CT has reached about 25% [30], the prevalence of ITNs on LDCT in this study was only 4.8%; although this was slightly more frequent than the 2.8% reported by Lee et al. [15] in a study using LDCT that included a study population without consideration of whether LDCT was recommended according to the results of the NLST study. This low prevalence of ITN on LDCT may be related to the lack of intravenous contrast and the lower radiation dose of LDCT compared to that of contrast-enhanced chest CT. The present study reported a malignancy rate of 3.6% (4/111) in subjects with ITN on LDCT in the lung cancer screening population; this rate lies somewhere within the previously reported range of 0%-11% in CT and MRI studies [6,31]. Compared with a study using the NLST population, our study showed a higher incidence of thyroid cancer (0.8% [18/2,329] vs. 0.1% [22/17,309]). In addition, whereas all cancers in our study were PTMCs, all papillary thyroid carcinomas in the previous study were larger than 2 cm [16]. The difference in the sensitivity of detecting ITN on LDCT and the difference in the US examination rate might be important causes of these discrepancies.

The low risk of thyroid cancer in the lung cancer screening population can be attributed to the following factors. First, the lung cancer screening population had a higher proportion of men than women, and men are known to be less susceptible to thyroid cancer than women are. Second, current tobacco smoking might have an inverse association with thyroid cancer risk [1,32]. Even when ITNs were malignant, they tended to be indolent. Most of the malignant ITNs on LDCT in this study were early-stage PTMCs, which was consistent with the previous findings that most ITNs on thyroid US were small papillary cancers [33]. Some doctors have argued that "incidental" and "non-incidental" thyroid PTMCs are different entities [34]. Many papers have recently reported that indiscriminate US evaluations for ITN due to the physician’s concern about the risk of malignancy was potentially harmful because the risk for poor outcomes without an evaluation was minimal and an intensive work-up of the ITN tended to result in unwanted benign thyroid nodule operations [35,36]. In this regard, we think that US for thyroid nodules may not be necessary for this lung cancer screening population, especially for the ITN-negative group. In the ITN-positive group, there was no specific CT feature for malignancy due to the limited number of thyroid cancer cases, except that an isthmic location was more frequent in thyroid cancer-positive group than in the thyroid cancer-negative group. Even for the ITN-positive group, a US evaluation may not be generally recommended because the thyroid cancers detected were mostly early-stage PTMCs. However, a US evaluation may be considered for subjects with other clinical risk factors for thyroid cancer or a personal concern about thyroid cancer. In the absence of strict criteria for this population, we advocate for the adoption of the ACR consensus recommendations that have a triage system for ITNs detected on various imaging modalities, rather than the ATA guidelines that do not [6,7].

There were some limitations to this study. First, since this was a retrospective study using data from 2004 to 2013, it was not possible to analyze the various clinical risk factors of thyroid cancer, such as a family history of thyroid cancer and a history of head and neck irradiation, because of the lack of information. However, as mentioned, the authors suggest that this analysis of the correlation between LDCT and thyroid US may not be possible with a prospective study at present. Second, during the 10-year study period, changes in the consensus recommendations and guidelines caused some inconsistencies in the US evaluation of thyroid nodules. However, it is unlikely that there were any serious changes in the lexicon that would have caused significant differences in the management of thyroid nodules. Third, this study did not compare correlations of the nodule size with findings between LDCT and thyroid US. The thyroid nodules detected on LDCT might not have corresponded to the nodules identified on US or biopsied, as presented in Fig. 5. Finally, this study was conducted at a single health center in an Asian iodine-rich area. The results should be generalized through studies with various populations.

In conclusion, in a lung cancer screening population, the risk of thyroid cancer was higher in the LDCT ITN-positive group than that in the ITN-negative group. However, all proven cancers were early-stage PTMCs.

Notes

Author Contributions

Conceptualization: Seo H, Kim JH. Data acquisition: Seo H, Jin KN, Park JS, Kang KM, Lee EK, Kim JH. Data analysis or interpretation: Seo H, Jin KN, Park JS, Kang KM, Lee EK, Lee JY, Yoo RE, Kim JH. Drafting of the manuscript: Seo H, Jin KN, Park JS, Kang KM, Lee EK, Kim JH. Critical revision of the manuscript: Lee JY, Yoo RE, Kim JH. Approval of the final version of the manuscript: all authors.

Ji-hoon Kim serves as Editor for the Ultrasonography, but has no role in the decision to publish this article. All remaining authors have declared no conflicts of interest.

Acknowledgements

We thank Jungju Lee for her assistance in data collection.

Supplementary Material

Supplementary Table 1. Incidence of ITN on LDCT and the incidence of thyroid cancer according to CT scanners and scanning periods (https://doi.org/10.14366/usg.22111).

Supplementary Table 1.

Incidence of ITN on LDCT and the incidence of thyroid cancer according to CT scanners and scanning periods

usg-22111-Supplementary-Table-1.pdf

References

1. Singh Ospina N, Iniguez-Ariza NM, Castro MR. Thyroid nodules: diagnostic evaluation based on thyroid cancer risk assessment. BMJ 2020;368:l6670.
2. Lim H, Devesa SS, Sosa JA, Check D, Kitahara CM. Trends in thyroid cancer incidence and mortality in the United States, 1974-2013. JAMA 2017;317:1338–1348.
3. Ahn HS, Kim HJ, Welch HG. Korea's thyroid-cancer "epidemic": screening and overdiagnosis. N Engl J Med 2014;371:1765–1767.
4. Baker SR, Bhatti WA. The thyroid cancer epidemic: is it the dark side of the CT revolution? Eur J Radiol 2006;60:67–69.
5. Brito JP, Morris JC, Montori VM. Thyroid cancer: zealous imaging has increased detection and treatment of low risk tumours. BMJ 2013;347:f4706.
6. Hoang JK, Langer JE, Middleton WD, Wu CC, Hammers LW, Cronan JJ, et al. Managing incidental thyroid nodules detected on imaging: white paper of the ACR Incidental Thyroid Findings Committee. J Am Coll Radiol 2015;12:143–150.
7. Haugen BR, Alexander EK, Bible KC, Doherty GM, Mandel SJ, Nikiforov YE, et al. 2015 American Thyroid Association management guidelines for adult patients with thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid cancer: the American Thyroid Association Guidelines Task Force on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer. Thyroid 2016;26:1–133.
8. Youserm DM, Huang T, Loevner LA, Langlotz CP. Clinical and economic impact of incidental thyroid lesions found with CT and MR. AJNR Am J Neuroradiol 1997;18:1423–1428.
9. Lehnert BE, Sandstrom CK, Gross JA, Dighe M, Linnau KF. Variability in management recommendations for incidental thyroid nodules detected on CT of the cervical spine in the emergency department. J Am Coll Radiol 2014;11:681–685.
10. Johnson PT, Horton KM, Megibow AJ, Jeffrey RB, Fishman EK. Common incidental findings on MDCT: survey of radiologist recommendations for patient management. J Am Coll Radiol 2011;8:762–767.
11. Tanpitukpongse TP, Grady AT, Sosa JA, Eastwood JD, Choudhury KR, Hoang JK. Incidental thyroid nodules on CT or MRI: discordance between what we report and what receives workup. AJR Am J Roentgenol 2015;205:1281–1287.
12. National Lung Screening Trial Research Team, Aberle DR, Adams AM, Berg CD, Black WC, Clapp JD, et al. Reduced lung-cancer mortality with low-dose computed tomographic screening. N Engl J Med 2011;365:395–409.
13. Wender R, Fontham ET, Barrera E Jr, Colditz GA, Church TR, Ettinger DS, et al. American Cancer Society lung cancer screening guidelines. CA Cancer J Clin 2013;63:107–117.
14. O'Grady TJ, Kitahara CM, DiRienzo AG, Boscoe FP, Gates MA. Randomization to screening for prostate, lung, colorectal and ovarian cancers and thyroid cancer incidence in two large cancer screening trials. PLoS One 2014;9:e106880.
15. Lee JH, Jeong SY, Kim YH. Clinical significance of incidental thyroid nodules identified on low-dose CT for lung cancer screening. Multidiscip Respir Med 2013;8:56.
16. Bahl M. Incidental thyroid nodules in the National Lung Screening Trial: estimation of prevalence, malignancy rate, and strategy for workup. Acad Radiol 2018;25:1152–1155.
17. Yoon DY, Chang SK, Choi CS, Yun EJ, Seo YL, Nam ES, et al. The prevalence and significance of incidental thyroid nodules identified on computed tomography. J Comput Assist Tomogr 2008;32:810–815.
18. Kim EK, Park CS, Chung WY, Oh KK, Kim DI, Lee JT, et al. New sonographic criteria for recommending fine-needle aspiration biopsy of nonpalpable solid nodules of the thyroid. AJR Am J Roentgenol 2002;178:687–691.
19. Moon WJ, Jung SL, Lee JH, Na DG, Baek JH, Lee YH, et al. Benign and malignant thyroid nodules: US differentiation: multicenter retrospective study. Radiology 2008;247:762–770.
20. American Thyroid Association Guidelines Taskforce on Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer, Cooper DS, Doherty GM, Haugen BR, Kloos R, Lee SL, et al. Revised American Thyroid Association management guidelines for patients with thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid cancer. Thyroid 2009;19:1167–1214.
21. Moon WJ, Baek JH, Jung SL, Kim DW, Kim EK, Kim JY, et al. Ultrasonography and the ultrasound-based management of thyroid nodules: consensus statement and recommendations. Korean J Radiol 2011;12:1–14.
22. Ha EJ, Chung SR, Na DG, Ahn HS, Chung J, Lee JY, et al. 2021 Korean Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System and imagingbased management of thyroid nodules: Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology consensus statement and recommendations. Korean J Radiol 2021;22:2094–2123.
23. Cibas ES, Ali SZ. The 2017 Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology. Thyroid 2017;27:1341–1346.
24. Jung CK, Baek JH, Na DG, Oh YL, Yi KH, Kang HC. 2019 Practice guidelines for thyroid core needle biopsy: a report of the Clinical Practice Guidelines Development Committee of the Korean Thyroid Association. J Pathol Transl Med 2020;54:64–86.
25. Amin MB, Edge SB, Greene FL, Byrd DR, Brookland RK, Washington MK, et al. AJCC cancer staging manual Cham: Springer; 2017.
26. Landis JR, Koch GG. The measurement of observer agreement for categorical data. Biometrics 1977;33:159–174.
27. Sugitani I, Ito Y, Takeuchi D, Nakayama H, Masaki C, Shindo H, et al. Indications and strategy for active surveillance of adult low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: consensus statements from the Japan Association of Endocrine Surgery Task Force on Management for Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma. Thyroid 2021;31:183–192.
28. Ahn HS, Welch HG. South Korea's thyroid-cancer "epidemic": turning the tide. N Engl J Med 2015;373:2389–2390.
29. Park S, Oh CM, Cho H, Lee JY, Jung KW, Jun JK, et al. Association between screening and the thyroid cancer "epidemic" in South Korea: evidence from a nationwide study. BMJ 2016;355:i5745.
30. Ahmed S, Johnson PT, Horton KM, Lai H, Zaheer A, Tsai S, et al. Prevalence of unsuspected thyroid nodules in adults on contrast enhanced 16- and 64-MDCT of the chest. World J Radiol 2012;4:311–317.
31. Shetty SK, Maher MM, Hahn PF, Halpern EF, Aquino SL. Significance of incidental thyroid lesions detected on CT: correlation among CT, sonography, and pathology. AJR Am J Roentgenol 2006;187:1349–1356.
32. Kitahara CM, Linet MS, Beane Freeman LE, Check DP, Church TR, Park Y, et al. Cigarette smoking, alcohol intake, and thyroid cancer risk: a pooled analysis of five prospective studies in the United States. Cancer Causes Control 2012;23:1615–1624.
33. Bahl M, Sosa JA, Nelson RC, Esclamado RM, Choudhury KR, Hoang JK. Trends in incidentally identified thyroid cancers over a decade: a retrospective analysis of 2,090 surgical patients. World J Surg 2014;38:1312–1317.
34. Provenzale MA, Fiore E, Ugolini C, Torregrossa L, Morganti R, Molinaro E, et al. 'Incidental' and 'non-incidental' thyroid papillary microcarcinomas are two different entities. Eur J Endocrinol 2016;174:813–820.
35. Hoang JK, Nguyen XV. Understanding the risks and harms of management of incidental thyroid nodules: a review. JAMA Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg 2017;143:718–724.
36. Lin JS, Bowles EJA, Williams SB, Morrison CC. Screening for thyroid cancer: updated evidence report and systematic review for the US Preventive Services Task Force. JAMA 2017;317:1888–1903.

Article information Continued

Notes

Key point

In lung cancer screening, although the presence of an incidental thyroid nodule on low-dose chest computed tomography increased thyroid cancer risk, only papillary thyroid microcarcinomas were identified. A heavy smoking history may not necessitate thorough screening ultrasonography for thyroid incidentalomas in a lung cancer screening population.

Fig. 1.

Flowchart of patient enrollment.

LDCT, low-dose chest computed tomography; ITN, incidental thyroid nodule; US, ultrasonography; FNA, fine-needle aspiration.

Fig. 2.

Types of incidental thyroid nodule calcification (arrows) on low-dose chest computed tomography: punctate (A), rim (B), and coarse (C).

Fig. 3.

A 71-year-old man (34 packyear smoking history) with an incidental thyroid nodule on lowdose chest computed tomography (LDCT) that was proven to be a benign follicular nodule.

A. LDCT shows a 2.0-cm low-attenuating nodule (arrows) in the left hemithyroid. B. Ultrasonography reveals a 1.8-cm, slightly hypoechoic, well-defined, ovoid solid nodule in the left hemithyroid. It was reported to be a benign follicular nodule (Bethesda category 2) based on fine-needle aspiration results.

Fig. 4.

A 60-year-old man (180 pack-year smoking history) with an incidental thyroid nodule (arrows) on low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT), which was proven to be a papillary thyroid microcarcinoma.

A. LDCT shows an 11-mm low-attenuating nodule in the left hemithyroid. B. Ultrasonography reveals a 13-mm, heterogeneous, ovoid solid nodule (arrows) in the left hemithyroid. It was suspected to be a papillary thyroid carcinoma (Bethesda category 5) based on fine-needle aspiration results. Surgery confirmed the 9-mm papillary thyroid microcarcinoma without extrathyroidal extension.

Fig. 5.

A 61-year-old man (37 pack-year smoking history) with an incidental thyroid nodule on low-dose chest computed tomography (LDCT), which was proven to be nodular hyperplasia and concurrent papillary thyroid carcinoma.

A. LDCT shows a 33-mm low-attenuating nodule with punctate calcifications (arrows) in the left hemithyroid. B. Ultrasonography reveals a 26-mm ill-defined, isoechoic, predominantly solid nodule (arrows) in the left hemithyroid, which was finally proven to be nodular hyperplasia. C. Unexpectedly, ultrasonography showed another 8-mm low-echoic, suspicious nodule with spiculated margin (arrows) in the left hemithyroid, which was finally confirmed to be a 5-mm papillary thyroid microcarcinoma without extrathyroidal extension during surgery.

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics according to the presence of an ITN on LDCT

Variable All LDCT LDCT ITN-positive group LDCT ITN-negative group P-value
No. 2,329 111 2,218
Sex (male:female) 2,285:44 103:8 2,182:36 <0.001
 Female (%) 1.9 7.2 1.6
Age (year) 60.9±4.9 62.4±4.8 60.9±4.9 0.001
Smoking (current/former) 979/1,350 46/65 933/1,285 0.922
Pack-years 42.6±16.8 44.8±21.9 42.5±16.4 0.280
Lung nodulea) 1,447 (62.1) 73 (65.8) 1,374 (61.9) 0.483
Lung cancerb) 28 (1.2) 0 28 (1.3) 0.642
Thyroid cancerc) 18 (0.8) 4 (3.6) 14 (0.6) 0.009

Values are presented as mean±standard deviation or number (%).

ITN, incidental thyroid nodule; LDCT, low-dose chest computed tomography.

a)

Presence on LDCT.

b)

Surgically proven.

c)

Proven at surgery or reported as Bethesda category 6 on fine-needle aspiration/core-needle biopsy.

Table 2.

Pathologic or clinical staging of 18 thyroid cancers

Variable All LDCT LDCT ITN-positive group LDCT ITN-negative group
No. 18 4 14
Sex (male:female) 17:1 4:0 13:1
Surgical pathologic staging
No. 11 3 8
Staging Stage I (n=7): pT1aN0 (n=4), pT1aNx (n=3) Stage I (n=3): pT1aN0 (n=2), pT1aNx (n=1) Stage I (n=4): pT1aN0 (n=2), pT1aNx (n=2)
Stage II (n=4): pT1aN1a (n=4) Stage II (n=4): pT1aN1a (n=4)
Clinical staging
No. 7 1 6
Staging Stage I (n=6): cT1aN0 (n=6) Stage I (n=1): cT1aN0 (n=1) Stage I (n=5): cT1aN0 (n=5)
Stage II (n=1): cT1aN1b (n=1) Stage II (n=1): cT1aN1b (n=1)

LDCT, low-dose chest computed tomography; ITN, incidental thyroid nodule.

Table 3.

Computed tomography characteristics of the LDCT ITN-positive group according to the presence of proven thyroid cancer

Variable Total Thyroid cancer- positive group Thyroid cancer- negative group P-value
No. 111 4 107
Sex (male:female) 105:6 4:0 101:6 >0.99
Age (year) 62.6±5.2 60.5±2.9 62.7±5.4 0.419
Thyroid nodule on LDCT
Location (right/left/isthmus) 50/56/5 0/2/2 50/54/3 0.010
Size (mm) 13.3±8.3 16.5±12.1 13.2±8.5 0.453
≤10 46 (41.4) 1 (25.0) 45 (42.1)
>10 and <15 26 (23.4) 1 (25.0) 25 (23.4)
≥15 39 (35.1) 2 (40.0) 37 (34.6)
Multiplicity 9 (8.1) 0 9 (8.1) >0.99
Calcification 38 (34.2) 2 (50.0) 36 (33.6) 0.605
Punctate 8 1 7
Rim 6 0 6
Coarse 24 1 23

Values are presented as mean±standard deviation or number (%).

LDCT, low-dose chest computed tomography; ITN, incidental thyroid nodule.

Table 4.

Ultrasonography/fine-needle aspiration–based characteristics of thyroid nodules according to the presence of a ITN on LDCT

Variable Total (n=2,011) LDCT ITN-positive group (n=101) LDCT ITN-negative group (n=1,910) P-value
Presence of thyroid nodule on US 1,023 (50.9) 95 (94.1) 928 (48.6) <0.001
Size (mm) of thyroid nodule on US 6.4±5.2 14.9±8.7 5.5±3.7 <0.001
≤1 cm 871 (43.3) 36 (35.6) 835 (43.7)
>1 cm 152 (7.6) 59 (58.4) 93 (4.9) <0.001
Recommendation of FNA according to the ATA guideline [7] 88 (4.4) 42 (41.2) 46 (2.4) <0.001
Very low suspicion ≥2 cm 3 3 0
Low suspicion ≥1.5 cm 44 24 20
Intermediate suspicion ≥1 cm 32 14 18
High suspicion ≥1 cm 9 1 8
Recommendation of FNA according to the K-TIRADS guidelinea) [22] 77 (3.8) 40 (39.6) 37 (1.9) <0.001
Low suspicion (K-TIRADS 3) >2 cm 15 13 2
Intermediate (K-TIRADS 4) >1 cmb) 55 26 29
Suspicious malignancy (K-TIRADS 5) >1 cm 7 1 6
FNA/CNB performed 104 (5.2) 46 (45.5) 58 (3.0) <0.001
Bethesda category 1 2 1 1
Bethesda category 2 74 36 38
Bethesda category 3 9 2 7
Bethesda category 4 2 2 0
Bethesda category 5 9 4 5
Bethesda category 6 8 1 7
Bethesda category 4, 5, 6 19 (0.9) 7 (6.9) 12 (0.6) <0.001
Surgically proven thyroid cancer 11 (0.5) 3 (3.0) 8 (0.4) 0.015
Surgically proven thyroid cancer or FNA/CNB Bethesda category 6 18 (0.9) 4 (4.0) 14 (0.7) 0.011
Surgically proven thyroid cancer or FNA/CNB Bethesda category 4, 5, 6 22 (1.1) 7 (6.9) 15 (0.8) <0.001

Values are presented as number (%) or mean±standard deviation.

ITN, incidental thyroid nodule; LDCT, low-dose chest computed tomography; US, ultrasonography; FNA, fine-needle aspiration; ATA, American Thyroid Association; K-TIRADS, Korean Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System; CNB, core-needle biopsy.

a)

One case with a 9-mm thyroid nodule with suspicious malignant features was indicated for FNA, as there was a suspicious lymph node enlargement at the lateral compartment, according to the K-TIRADS guideline. This case was not included numerically in the table to show a comparison between the two guidelines.

b)

The size criterion for intermediate suspicion in K-TIRADS guideline is >1–1.5 cm. We applied the size criterion of 1 cm because this patient population underwent thyroid US as a screening examination.